The Shortage That Isn't Quite a Shortage
The FAA issued 67,814 Airline Transport Pilot (ATP) certificates as of December 2025, a 3.1% increase over 2024. The United States has more ATP-rated pilots than at any point in the last decade. By raw numbers, there is no shortage of qualified pilots in America.
What business aviation faces is a distribution problem and an experience problem. The 67,814 ATP holders are not evenly distributed between airlines, Part 135 charter, Part 91 corporate, and military. The airlines absorbed approximately 17,000 pilots between 2021 and 2025 to replace pandemic-era retirements and expand schedules. Those pilots came from somewhere. Many came from business aviation.
The result is not an empty cockpit. It is an inexperienced cockpit. Part 135 operators are hiring pilots with 1,500 total hours (the ATP minimum) who five years ago would have needed 3,000 hours to get the same job. The aircraft are staffed. The question is whether the person in the left seat has flown into Aspen in a snowstorm before.
Where the Pilots Actually Went
Between 2021 and 2025, the major U.S. airlines hired aggressively to replace the approximately 12,000 pilots who took early retirement packages during 2020. Delta, United, American, and Southwest each hired 3,000 to 5,000 pilots over this period. The regional airlines, which had traditionally served as the training pipeline for business aviation, saw their own pilot ranks depleted as crews moved to mainline carriers.
Business aviation lost pilots to the airlines because airline compensation improved dramatically. A first-year first officer at Delta earns approximately $110,000. A first-year captain at a mid-tier Part 135 operator earns $95,000 to $140,000, often with a more demanding schedule. The financial gap between the two career paths narrowed, but the airlines offer predictability, union protection, and retirement benefits that most Part 135 operators cannot match.
The pilots who stayed in business aviation did so for lifestyle reasons: flexible scheduling, the variety of flying to different airports daily, or the relationship with a specific aircraft owner. These are real incentives, but they do not scale. An operator cannot solve a staffing problem by marketing lifestyle benefits to pilots who have two airline offers on the table.
The Experience Gap
The most consequential effect of the pilot migration is not empty seats. It is reduced average experience levels. In 2019, the average captain at a mid-tier Part 135 charter operator had 6,000 to 8,000 total flight hours and 2,000 to 4,000 hours in type. In 2026, that average has dropped to 3,500 to 5,500 total hours and 800 to 2,000 hours in type.
For passengers, this matters in specific operational scenarios. A 10,000-hour captain who has flown into Aspen 200 times makes different decisions in marginal weather than a 2,500-hour captain on their fifth trip. Both are legally qualified. Both passed the same type rating checkride. The difference is pattern recognition, and pattern recognition only comes from repetition.
This does not mean that newer pilots are unsafe. FAA training requirements, simulator-based proficiency checks, and crew resource management programs are more rigorous than they were a decade ago. But the safety margin that comes from deep experience has thinned, and operators who acknowledge this honestly invest more heavily in mentoring programs and operational limitations for lower-time crews.

